Archive for janvier 1, 2009

Future of web 3.0

pew_internetA survey of internet leaders, activists and analysts by Pew Internet & American Life Project gives a good insight in the future of the web 3.0, to follow-up on the web trends 2009 I already wrote about.

Here are the key findings on the survey of experts by the Pew Internet & American Life Project that asked respondents to assess predictions about technology and its roles in the year 2020:

  • The mobile device will be the primary connection tool to the internet for most people in the world in 2020.
  • The transparency of people and organizations will increase, but that will not necessarily yield more personal integrity, social tolerance, or forgiveness.
  • Voice recognition and touch user-interfaces with the internet will be more prevalent and accepted by 2020.
  • Those working to enforce intellectual property law and copyright protection will remain in a continuing arms race, with the crackers who will find ways to copy and share content without payment.
  • The divisions between personal time and work time and between physical and virtual reality will be further erased for everyone who is connected, and the results will be mixed in their impact on basic social relations.
  • Next-generation engineering of the network to improve the current internet architecture is more likely than an effort to rebuild the architecture from scratch.
  • Among these, I like the way the authors of the report pointed out the fact that the technological evolution will not bring more social tolerance by itself. Hopefully, this will be backed up by more social evolution that will help us use these tools for the benefit of many…
    Besides, personal time and work time or physical and virtual reality tend to merge in the analysts’ prediction. What will it change in our present interactions with our work environment and colleagues ? or what will it mean in the way we deal with our friends and family ?
    I’d say that we are facing very exciting times ahead but let’s hope we will be sensible enough not to spoil it all :-)
    However, I must say I’m quite confident in this future… Americans elected Obama after all… my kids are greener than I ever was… and snow is still falling in winter… in Switzerland  !
    Happy New Year !

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